UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Baggett vs Bader

1,594

CageRank

WINNER
Bader

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Bader
WILL WIN

2,073

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ryan Bader
Much better submission defense 8.5 vs 6.8 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 7.5 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 203 lbs Almost the same
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for David Baggett
From what we can tell, Ryan Bader dominates David Baggett in every way.
Bader on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baggett’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Bader
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bader is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Baggett on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Baggett
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baggett is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Baggett is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Baggett is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bader 7.6
fighter Baggett 7.7
Great knockouts by Baggett
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Abrante
Round 1 Aug 14, 2010 vs Nevels
Round 1 Dec 13, 2008 vs Gandulla

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bader 7.4
fighter Baggett 6.7
Great submissions by Bader
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Acosta
Round 1 May 12, 2007 vs Baggett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bader 8.1
fighter Baggett 8.0
Fast finishes by Bader
50 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
77 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Brilz
730 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
SUBX
1,6011,550
1,5441,607
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bader
legend Baggett
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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