UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Elkins vs Zhang

1,986

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Elkins

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Elkins
WILL WIN

1,728

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Darren Elkins
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Longer reach 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Tiequan Zhang
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Elkins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Zhang’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Darren
Elkins
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Elkins Zhang
Significant Strikes59
Elkins's average striking offense is matched by Zhang's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Elkins's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Zhang's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elkins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Elkins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Elkins has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Zhang on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elkins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tiequan
Zhang
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Zhang Elkins
Significant Strikes43
Zhang's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Elkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Zhang's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Elkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Zhang is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Zhang has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Zhang is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Elkins 8.3
fighter Zhang 7.9
Great striking by Elkins
48 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Hioki
44 strikes Nov 17, 2012 vs Siler
78 strikes Jun 11, 2011 vs Omigawa

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Elkins 8.4
fighter Zhang 8.1
Great takedowns by Elkins
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Hioki
6 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Siler
1 takedown Jun 11, 2011 vs Omigawa

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Elkins 7.6
fighter Zhang 6.4
Great knockouts by Elkins
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Carvalho
Round 1 Mar 21, 2010 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Neville

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Elkins 7.1
fighter Zhang 8.3
Great submissions by Zhang
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Reinhardt
Round 1 Sep 30, 2010 vs Garza
Round 1 Nov 22, 2008 vs Baduria

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Elkins 8.0
fighter Zhang 8.2
Fast finishes by Zhang
48 seconds Feb 27, 2011 vs Reinhardt
146 seconds Sep 30, 2010 vs Garza
183 seconds Nov 22, 2008 vs Baduria
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 8, 2011UFC 136
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,8751,899
1,9291,845
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Elkins
legend Zhang
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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