UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Elkins vs Dias

1,986

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Elkins

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Elkins
WILL WIN

1,942

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Darren Elkins
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Hacran Dias
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Elkins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dias’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Darren
Elkins
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Elkins Dias
Significant Strikes58
Elkins's average striking offense is matched by Dias's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Elkins's average takedown offense is matched by Dias's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elkins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Elkins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Elkins has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dias on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elkins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hacran
Dias
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dias Elkins
Significant Strikes57
Dias's average striking offense is matched by Elkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dias's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Elkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dias is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dias is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dias is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Elkins 8.3
fighter Dias 8.3
Great striking by Dias
19 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Alcantara

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Elkins 8.4
fighter Dias 8.7
Great takedowns by Dias
5 takedowns Jun 23, 2012 vs Alcantara

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Elkins 7.6
fighter Dias 6.6
Great knockouts by Elkins
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Carvalho
Round 1 Mar 21, 2010 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Neville

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Elkins 7.1
fighter Dias 7.9
Great submissions by Dias
Round 2 Dec 02, 2011 vs Dantas
Round 1 Aug 25, 2011 vs Hoch
Round 1 May 09, 2009 vs Mazihov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Elkins 8.0
fighter Dias 7.9
Fast finishes by Elkins
186 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Carvalho
44 seconds Mar 21, 2010 vs Ludwig
115 seconds Aug 24, 2007 vs Tsuboi
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 20, 2014UFC Fight Night 58
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Elkins
legend Dias
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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