UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Elkins vs Bermudez

1,986

CageRank

WINNER
Bermudez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Bermudez
WILL WIN

2,055

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dennis Bermudez
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Darren Elkins
Much taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Bermudez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elkins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Bermudez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bermudez Elkins
Significant Strikes73
Bermudez's good striking offense may be a factor against Elkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Bermudez's good takedown offense is matched by Elkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bermudez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bermudez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bermudez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Elkins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bermudez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Darren
Elkins
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Elkins Bermudez
Significant Strikes59
Elkins's average striking offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Elkins's average takedown offense is matched by Bermudez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elkins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Elkins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Elkins has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bermudez 8.8
fighter Elkins 8.3
Great striking by Bermudez
44 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
73 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
120 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Grice

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bermudez 8.9
fighter Elkins 8.4
Great takedowns by Bermudez
6 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Siler
4 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Holloway
8 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Garza

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bermudez 7.3
fighter Elkins 7.6
Great knockouts by Elkins
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Carvalho
Round 1 Mar 21, 2010 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Neville

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bermudez 7.5
fighter Elkins 7.1
Great submissions by Bermudez
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Hayden
Round 2 Feb 06, 2010 vs Seipel
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Taylor

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bermudez 7.6
fighter Elkins 8.0
Fast finishes by Elkins
186 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Carvalho
44 seconds Mar 21, 2010 vs Ludwig
115 seconds Aug 24, 2007 vs Tsuboi
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 22, 2017UFC on Fox 25
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bermudez
legend Elkins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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