UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Page vs Johnson

1,775

CageRank

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
92% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,200

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demetrious Johnson
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Damacio Page
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 168 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Page’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demetrious
Johnson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Johnson Page
Significant Strikes74
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Page's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Johnson's excellent takedown offense will dominate Page's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Page on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Damacio
Page
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Page Johnson
Significant Strikes45
Page's average striking offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Page's average takedown offense is matched by Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Page is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Page is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Page is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Page 8.4
Great striking by Johnson
7 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Benavidez
77 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
13 strikes May 28, 2011 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 9.2
fighter Page 8.5
Great takedowns by Johnson
12 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
5 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Benavidez
5 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 7.2
fighter Page 7.9
Great knockouts by Page
Round 1 May 31, 2013 vs Ybarra
Round 1 Mar 01, 2009 vs Galvao
Round 1 Jan 28, 2006 vs Vigneault

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 7.9
fighter Page 7.3
Great submissions by Johnson
Round 5 Jul 27, 2013 vs Moraga
Round 3 Nov 11, 2010 vs Page
Round 2 Aug 16, 2008 vs Garza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 7.7
fighter Page 8.0
Fast finishes by Page
62 seconds Oct 10, 2009 vs Campuzano
18 seconds Mar 01, 2009 vs Galvao
80 seconds Jan 28, 2006 vs Vigneault
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 11, 2010WEC 52
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,8461,848
1,7961,898
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Page
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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