UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dober vs Hernandez

1,832

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dober

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
61% chance Dober
WILL WIN

1,755

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Drew Dober
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Ramiro Hernandez
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Slightly taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Dober on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hernandez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Drew
Dober
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dober Hernandez
Significant Strikes79
Dober's average striking offense may be a factor against Hernandez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Dober's average takedown offense is matched by Hernandez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dober is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dober has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dober has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Hernandez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dober’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ramiro
Hernandez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hernandez Dober
Significant Strikes74
Hernandez's average striking offense is matched by Dober's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Hernandez's average takedown offense is matched by Dober's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hernandez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hernandez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hernandez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dober 6.7
fighter Hernandez 7.1
Great knockouts by Hernandez
Round 1 Apr 01, 2011 vs Dober
Round 2 Oct 02, 2009 vs Davidson
Round 1 Mar 13, 2009 vs Phiathep

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dober 8.0
fighter Hernandez 7.2
Great submissions by Dober
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs O'Brien
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Rojas Jr.
Round 2 Nov 04, 2011 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dober 7.6
fighter Hernandez 7.6
Fast finishes by Dober
537 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs O'Brien
330 seconds Nov 04, 2011 vs Johnson
538 seconds Jul 24, 2009 vs Caraballo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
DECX
1,8051,760
1,7481,817
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dober
legend Hernandez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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