UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dober vs Tuck

1,832

CageRank

WINNER
Tuck

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
55% chance Tuck
WILL WIN

1,867

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Tuck
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Drew Dober
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Tuck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dober’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Tuck
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tuck Dober
Significant Strikes76
Tuck's average striking offense is matched by Dober's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Tuck's average takedown offense is matched by Dober's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tuck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tuck has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Dober on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tuck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Drew
Dober
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dober Tuck
Significant Strikes75
Dober's average striking offense is matched by Tuck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Dober's average takedown offense is matched by Tuck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dober is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dober has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Dober has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tuck 8.5
fighter Dober 8.4
Great striking by Tuck
36 strikes Nov 10, 2012 vs Zhang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tuck 8.2
fighter Dober 6.7
Great knockouts by Tuck
Round 1 Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
Round 1 May 28, 2007 vs Salas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tuck 7.5
fighter Dober 8.0
Great submissions by Dober
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs O'Brien
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Rojas Jr.
Round 2 Nov 04, 2011 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tuck 8.3
fighter Dober 7.6
Fast finishes by Tuck
225 seconds Nov 26, 2011 vs Arenal
8 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Folayang
118 seconds Mar 27, 2009 vs Calvo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 25, 2018UFC Fight Night 135
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tuck
legend Dober
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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