UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dober vs Burkman

1,832

CageRank

WINNER
Burkman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
81% chance Burkman
WILL WIN

2,084

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Josh Burkman
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Drew Dober
Significantly younger 28 years vs 36 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Burkman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dober’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Burkman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Burkman Dober
Significant Strikes78
Burkman's average striking offense is matched by Dober's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Burkman's good takedown offense may be a factor against Dober's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Burkman is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Burkman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Burkman has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Dober on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Burkman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Drew
Dober
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dober Burkman
Significant Strikes65
Dober's average striking offense is matched by Burkman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dober's average takedown offense is matched by Burkman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dober is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dober has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dober is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Burkman 8.5
fighter Dober 8.4
Great striking by Burkman
27 strikes Jan 25, 2007 vs Reiner
35 strikes Jul 08, 2006 vs Neer
7 strikes Jan 16, 2006 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Burkman 8.9
fighter Dober 8.3
Great takedowns by Burkman
3 takedowns Oct 20, 2007 vs Petz
9 takedowns Jan 25, 2007 vs Reiner
4 takedowns Jul 08, 2006 vs Neer

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Burkman 7.9
fighter Dober 6.7
Great knockouts by Burkman
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Simpson
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Melendez
Round 1 Nov 05, 2005 vs Morgan

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Burkman 7.7
fighter Dober 8.0
Great submissions by Dober
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs O'Brien
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Rojas Jr.
Round 2 Nov 04, 2011 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Burkman 8.7
fighter Dober 7.6
Fast finishes by Burkman
41 seconds Jun 14, 2013 vs Fitch
184 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Simpson
67 seconds Jan 16, 2006 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 29, 2017UFC 214
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Burkman
legend Dober
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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