UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dober vs O'Brien

1,832

CageRank

WINNER
O'Brien

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance O'Brien
WILL WIN

1,859

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. O'Brien
Much taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Drew Dober
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.0 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
O'Brien on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dober’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
O'Brien
In 11:10, how much damage will he do? O'Brien Dober
Significant Strikes58
O'Brien's average striking offense is matched by Dober's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:10
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
O'Brien's average takedown offense is matched by Dober's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:10
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
O'Brien is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
O'Brien has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
O'Brien is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Dober on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against O'Brien’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Drew
Dober
In 11:10, how much damage will he do? Dober O'Brien
Significant Strikes56
Dober's average striking offense is matched by O'Brien's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:10
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Dober's average takedown offense is matched by O'Brien's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:10
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dober is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dober has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Dober is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter O'Brien 6.0
fighter Dober 6.7
Great knockouts by Dober
Round 2 Jul 24, 2009 vs Caraballo
Round 1 Oct 03, 2008 vs Sayers
Round 0 Dec 07, 2007 vs Wolf

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter O'Brien 9.1
fighter Dober 8.0
Great submissions by O'Brien
Round 1 Oct 22, 2010 vs Henry
Round 1 Jul 16, 2010 vs Cochrane
Round 1 Jan 16, 2010 vs Brown

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter O'Brien 8.8
fighter Dober 7.6
Fast finishes by O'Brien
228 seconds Oct 22, 2010 vs Henry
120 seconds Jul 16, 2010 vs Cochrane
76 seconds Jan 16, 2010 vs Brown
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,8761,788
1,9141,751
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend O'Brien
legend Dober
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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