UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ronson vs Prazeres

1,788

CageRank

WINNER
Prazeres

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Prazeres
WILL WIN

2,009

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michel Prazeres
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Jesse Ronson
Much heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer winning streak 7 fights vs 4 fights 75% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Prazeres on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ronson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michel
Prazeres
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Prazeres Ronson
Significant Strikes60
Prazeres's average striking offense is matched by Ronson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Prazeres's good takedown offense may be a factor against Ronson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Prazeres is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Prazeres is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Prazeres has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ronson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Prazeres’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jesse
Ronson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ronson Prazeres
Significant Strikes73
Ronson's average striking offense is matched by Prazeres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ronson's average takedown offense is matched by Prazeres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ronson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ronson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ronson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Prazeres 8.9
fighter Ronson 8.2
Great takedowns by Prazeres
7 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Ronson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Prazeres 6.2
fighter Ronson 7.5
Great knockouts by Ronson
Round 1 Jul 28, 2012 vs St. Pierre
Round 1 Apr 14, 2012 vs Causey
Round 1 Nov 28, 2009 vs St. Pierre

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Prazeres 7.5
fighter Ronson 7.3
Great submissions by Prazeres
Round 1 Mar 31, 2012 vs Leal
Round 2 Sep 12, 2003 vs Santana
Round 1 Mar 21, 2003 vs de Souza Gama

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Prazeres 7.5
fighter Ronson 7.7
Fast finishes by Ronson
419 seconds Jul 05, 2013 vs Campbell
294 seconds Apr 14, 2012 vs Causey
565 seconds Dec 03, 2011 vs Hervey
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 21, 2013UFC 165
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,9441,895
1,8871,952
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Prazeres
legend Ronson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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