UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ronson vs Lee

1,788

CageRank

WINNER
Lee

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Lee
WILL WIN

1,856

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 25 years vs 32 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Jesse Ronson
Much heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer winning streak 7 fights vs 4 fights 75% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ronson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lee Ronson
Significant Strikes65
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Ronson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Lee's average takedown offense is matched by Ronson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ronson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jesse
Ronson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ronson Lee
Significant Strikes69
Ronson's average striking offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ronson's average takedown offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ronson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ronson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ronson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lee 6.6
fighter Ronson 7.5
Great knockouts by Ronson
Round 1 Jul 28, 2012 vs St. Pierre
Round 1 Apr 14, 2012 vs Causey
Round 1 Nov 28, 2009 vs St. Pierre

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lee 8.1
fighter Ronson 7.3
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
Round 3 Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Prepolec

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lee 7.9
fighter Ronson 7.7
Fast finishes by Lee
84 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Moon
46 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
689 seconds Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 6, 2014TUF 19 Finale
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lee
legend Ronson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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