UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Thomas vs Marquez

1,407

CageRank

WINNER
Marquez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
81% chance Marquez
WILL WIN

1,657

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Julian Marquez
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 7.7 vs 6.6 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 7.7 vs 6.6 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Billy Thomas
From what we can tell, Julian Marquez dominates Billy Thomas in every way.
Marquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thomas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Julian
Marquez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Marquez has a very good chance of winning by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Marquez is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Thomas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Billy
Thomas
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thomas has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Thomas has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Thomas is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Marquez 7.3
fighter Thomas 7.1
Great knockouts by Marquez
Round 1 May 19, 2017 vs Olson
Round 1 Oct 14, 2016 vs Hamill
Round 1 May 24, 2014 vs Rooks

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Marquez 7.8
fighter Thomas 7.0
Great submissions by Marquez
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Handley
Round 1 Jun 30, 2012 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Nov 20, 2010 vs Thomas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Marquez 8.2
fighter Thomas 7.1
Fast finishes by Marquez
164 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Handley
75 seconds Jun 30, 2012 vs Rodriguez
12 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Thomas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,4501,550
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Marquez
legend Thomas
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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