UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bears vs Woodley

1,674

CageRank

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 7.8 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.0 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Rudy Bears
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bears’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 5:11, how much damage will he do? Woodley Bears
Significant Strikes28
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against Bears's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Woodley's average takedown offense may be a factor against Bears's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Bears on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rudy
Bears
In 5:11, how much damage will he do? Bears Woodley
Significant Strikes14
Bears's average striking offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:11
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Bears's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bears is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bears is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bears is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Bears 8.2
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Woodley 8.4
fighter Bears 8.3
Great takedowns by Woodley
3 takedowns Jan 07, 2012 vs Mein
2 takedowns Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley
2 takedowns Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter Bears 7.0
Great knockouts by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs Galvao

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter Bears 7.4
Great submissions by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Light
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Woods

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Bears 7.6
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R2 KOX
1,8561,681
1,7831,754
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend Bears
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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