UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Horn vs Santiago

1,897

CageRank

WINNER
Santiago

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Santiago
WILL WIN

1,933

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Santiago
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 37 years vs 43 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Jeremy Horn
Much better submission offense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Santiago on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Horn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Santiago
In 12:31, how much damage will he do? Santiago Horn
Significant Strikes39
Santiago's average striking offense won't be a factor against Horn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:31
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Santiago's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Horn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:31
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santiago has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Santiago has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Santiago is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Horn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santiago’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Horn
In 12:31, how much damage will he do? Horn Santiago
Significant Strikes28
Horn's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Santiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:31
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Horn's average takedown offense is matched by Santiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Horn is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Horn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Horn is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Santiago 8.3
fighter Horn 7.7
Great striking by Santiago
11 strikes Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley
2 strikes Nov 16, 2007 vs Salmon
9 strikes Jun 28, 2006 vs Levens

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Santiago 7.7
fighter Horn 8.1
Great takedowns by Horn
2 takedowns Sep 06, 2003 vs Griffin
8 takedowns Jun 23, 2002 vs Yvel
1 takedown Sep 22, 2000 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Santiago 8.3
fighter Horn 6.5
Great knockouts by Santiago
Round 5 Aug 22, 2010 vs Misaki
Round 3 Nov 01, 2008 vs Nakamura
Round 1 Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Santiago 8.2
fighter Horn 9.2
Great submissions by Horn
Round 2 May 27, 2006 vs Sonnen
Round 1 Apr 29, 2005 vs Burkman
Round 1 Feb 28, 2004 vs Loiseau

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Santiago 8.7
fighter Horn 8.7
Fast finishes by Horn
74 seconds Apr 29, 2005 vs Burkman
214 seconds May 06, 2004 vs Sonnen
520 seconds Sep 06, 2003 vs Griffin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 1, 2007AOW - Art of War 3
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
DECX
2,0381,778
1,9561,860
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Santiago
legend Horn
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus