UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Horn vs Palhares

1,897

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 9.7 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 37 years vs 42 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Jeremy Horn
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Heavier 186 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 7.7 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Heavier hands 6.5 vs 6.3 Almost the same
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Horn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 9:49, how much damage will he do? Palhares Horn
Significant Strikes16
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Horn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:49
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Horn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Horn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Horn
In 9:49, how much damage will he do? Horn Palhares
Significant Strikes21
Horn's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:49
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Horn's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Horn is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Horn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Horn is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Horn 7.7
Great striking by Horn
38 strikes Nov 19, 2005 vs Prangley
19 strikes Sep 06, 2003 vs Griffin
10 strikes Jun 23, 2002 vs Yvel

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Horn 8.1
Great takedowns by Palhares
2 takedowns Aug 27, 2011 vs Miller
1 takedown Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares
7 takedowns Jan 17, 2009 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Horn 6.5
Great knockouts by Horn
Round 1 May 06, 2004 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Sep 06, 2003 vs Griffin
Round 2 Jan 12, 2003 vs Fulton

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Horn 9.2
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Horn 8.7
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 17, 2009UFC 93
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,8741,846
1,8201,900
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Horn
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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