UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Randleman vs Rua

1,628

CageRank

WINNER
Rua

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Rua
WILL WIN

2,020

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mauricio Rua
Better striker 9.3 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.8 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.0 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 35 years vs 46 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 6.5 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Kevin Randleman
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Randleman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mauricio
Rua
In 8:01, how much damage will he do? Rua Randleman
Significant Strikes33
Rua's excellent striking offense is matched by Randleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 8:01
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rua's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Randleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:01
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Randleman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Randleman
In 8:01, how much damage will he do? Randleman Rua
Significant Strikes11
Randleman's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 8:01
Poor
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Randleman's average takedown offense is matched by Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:01
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Randleman is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Randleman is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Randleman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Randleman 7.6
Great striking by Rua
16 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
17 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Machida
48 strikes Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rua 8.3
fighter Randleman 8.7
Great takedowns by Randleman
1 takedown Jan 11, 2002 vs Sobral
2 takedowns Jun 09, 2000 vs Rizzo
6 takedowns Nov 19, 1999 vs Williams

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Randleman 6.8
Great knockouts by Rua
Round 1 Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
Round 1 May 08, 2010 vs Machida
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rua 6.5
fighter Randleman 6.3
Great submissions by Rua
Round 1 Oct 21, 2006 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rua 8.8
fighter Randleman 7.0
Fast finishes by Rua
113 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
215 seconds May 08, 2010 vs Machida
268 seconds Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 21, 2006Pride 32
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,7462,033
1,7302,049
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rua
legend Randleman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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