UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sonnen vs Bisping

2,132

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sonnen

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
61% chance Sonnen
WILL WIN

2,057

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chael Sonnen
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Michael Bisping
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Longer reach 192 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Sonnen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bisping’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chael
Sonnen
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sonnen Bisping
Significant Strikes62
Sonnen's good striking offense is matched by Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Sonnen's excellent takedown offense will dominate Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sonnen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sonnen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sonnen has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bisping on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sonnen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Bisping
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bisping Sonnen
Significant Strikes66
Bisping's excellent striking offense is matched by Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bisping's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bisping is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bisping is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sonnen 8.8
fighter Bisping 9.5
Great striking by Bisping
93 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Belcher
102 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
50 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sonnen 9.4
fighter Bisping 8.3
Great takedowns by Sonnen
6 takedowns Feb 06, 2010 vs Marquardt
4 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Okami
1 takedown Nov 05, 2008 vs Filho

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sonnen 7.4
fighter Bisping 8.5
Great knockouts by Bisping
Round 3 Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
Round 2 Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Kang

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sonnen 7.5
fighter Bisping 6.8
Great submissions by Sonnen
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Rua
Round 2 Oct 08, 2011 vs Stann
Round 1 Feb 18, 2007 vs McKenzie

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sonnen 8.1
fighter Bisping 8.3
Fast finishes by Bisping
814 seconds Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
414 seconds Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
222 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 28, 2012UFC on Fox 2
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
2,1642,126
2,2082,082
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sonnen
legend Bisping
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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