UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sonnen vs Belfort

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
62% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.4 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.8 vs 9.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Chael Sonnen
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.5 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sonnen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 5:15, how much damage will he do? Belfort Sonnen
Significant Strikes19
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:15
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:15
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sonnen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chael
Sonnen
In 5:15, how much damage will he do? Sonnen Belfort
Significant Strikes13
Sonnen's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:15
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sonnen's excellent takedown offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:15
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sonnen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sonnen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sonnen has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Sonnen 8.8
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Sonnen 9.4
Great takedowns by Sonnen
6 takedowns Feb 06, 2010 vs Marquardt
4 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Okami
1 takedown Nov 05, 2008 vs Filho

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Sonnen 7.4
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Sonnen 7.5
Great submissions by Sonnen
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Rua
Round 2 Oct 08, 2011 vs Stann
Round 1 Feb 18, 2007 vs McKenzie

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Sonnen 8.1
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Sonnen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus