UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sonnen vs Silva

2,132

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sonnen

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Sonnen
WILL WIN

1,976

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chael Sonnen
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.1 More than 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.0 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Wanderlei Silva
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Sonnen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chael
Sonnen
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sonnen Silva
Significant Strikes72
Sonnen's good striking offense may be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Sonnen's excellent takedown offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sonnen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sonnen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sonnen has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sonnen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wanderlei
Silva
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Silva Sonnen
Significant Strikes55
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sonnen 8.8
fighter Silva 9.2
Great striking by Silva
42 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Bisping
56 strikes Oct 31, 2004 vs Jackson
25 strikes Mar 25, 2001 vs Sakuraba

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sonnen 9.4
fighter Silva 7.1
Great takedowns by Sonnen
6 takedowns Feb 06, 2010 vs Marquardt
4 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Okami
1 takedown Nov 05, 2008 vs Filho

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sonnen 7.4
fighter Silva 8.8
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2013 vs Stann
Round 2 Oct 31, 2004 vs Jackson
Round 1 Nov 09, 2003 vs Jackson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sonnen 7.5
fighter Silva 6.0
Great submissions by Sonnen
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Rua
Round 2 Oct 08, 2011 vs Stann
Round 1 Feb 18, 2007 vs McKenzie

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sonnen 8.1
fighter Silva 8.4
Fast finishes by Silva
36 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Jardine
506 seconds Oct 31, 2004 vs Jackson
98 seconds Mar 25, 2001 vs Sakuraba
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 24, 2017Bellator 180
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sonnen
legend Silva
Read More
Sonnen vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Silva vs Frye
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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