UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sonnen vs Cormier

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,234

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Chael Sonnen
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 188 cm vs 184 cm Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sonnen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Cormier Sonnen
Significant Strikes38
Cormier's excellent striking offense is matched by Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sonnen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sonnen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chael
Sonnen
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Sonnen Cormier
Significant Strikes42
Sonnen's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sonnen's excellent takedown offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sonnen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sonnen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sonnen has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Sonnen 8.8
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Sonnen 9.4
Great takedowns by Sonnen
6 takedowns Feb 06, 2010 vs Marquardt
4 takedowns Oct 24, 2009 vs Okami
1 takedown Nov 05, 2008 vs Filho

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Sonnen 7.4
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Sonnen 7.5
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 2 Apr 08, 2017 vs Johnson
Round 3 May 24, 2014 vs Henderson
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Sonnen 8.1
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Sonnen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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