UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ebersole vs Lombard

1,985

CageRank

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,230

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.4 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Brian Ebersole
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ebersole’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lombard Ebersole
Significant Strikes72
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Ebersole's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Ebersole's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ebersole on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Ebersole
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ebersole Lombard
Significant Strikes65
Ebersole's average striking offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ebersole's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ebersole is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ebersole is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ebersole is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Ebersole 8.4
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Ebersole 7.6
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Ebersole 6.9
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Ebersole 7.4
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR4 SUB
XDEC
1,8821,938
1,8401,980
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Ebersole
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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