UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ebersole vs Herman

1,985

CageRank

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Brian Ebersole
Significantly stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ebersole’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Herman Ebersole
Significant Strikes60
Herman's average striking offense is matched by Ebersole's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Herman's average takedown offense is matched by Ebersole's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ebersole on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Ebersole
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ebersole Herman
Significant Strikes68
Ebersole's average striking offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ebersole's average takedown offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ebersole is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ebersole is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ebersole has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Ebersole 8.4
Great striking by Herman
2 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
71 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
43 strikes Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Ebersole 8.3
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Ebersole 7.6
Great knockouts by Ebersole
Round 1 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hallman
Round 3 Nov 07, 2008 vs Nix
Round 2 Feb 15, 2008 vs Andrews

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Ebersole 6.9
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Ebersole 7.4
Fast finishes by Herman
255 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
48 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
639 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 28, 2004SF 5 - Stadium
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
KOX
1,8601,817
1,8031,873
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Ebersole
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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