UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hamilton vs Diaz

1,630

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hamilton

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Hamilton
WILL WIN

1,589

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Matt Hamilton
Significantly stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ryan Diaz
Significantly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 39 years vs 45 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Hamilton on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Hamilton
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hamilton is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hamilton is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Hamilton is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hamilton’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Diaz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Diaz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hamilton 6.2
fighter Diaz 6.8
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 04, 2009 vs Odell
Round 1 Apr 02, 2005 vs Lagace
Round 4 Mar 01, 2003 vs Hamilton

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hamilton 7.3
fighter Diaz 7.6
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 Mar 10, 2007 vs Newalu
Round 3 Dec 03, 2005 vs Quenneville
Round 1 Mar 06, 2004 vs Ackerman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hamilton 7.1
fighter Diaz 7.6
Fast finishes by Diaz
191 seconds Mar 10, 2007 vs Newalu
541 seconds Jul 23, 2005 vs Koka
107 seconds Mar 06, 2004 vs Ackerman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 1, 2003UFCF - Seattle
team
VS
team
XR4 KO
R1 SUBX
1,6461,453
1,5701,528
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hamilton
legend Diaz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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