UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Severn vs Wiezorek

1,762

CageRank

WINNER
Wiezorek

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Wiezorek
WILL WIN

1,802

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jonathan Wiezorek
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much younger 39 years vs 59 years Around 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Dan Severn
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.8 vs 8.5 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.6 vs 8.0 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Wiezorek on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Severn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jonathan
Wiezorek
In 11:51, how much damage will he do? Wiezorek Severn
Significant Strikes22
Wiezorek's average striking offense won't be a factor against Severn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:51
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Wiezorek's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Severn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wiezorek is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wiezorek has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wiezorek is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Severn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wiezorek’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Severn
In 11:51, how much damage will he do? Severn Wiezorek
Significant Strikes37
Severn's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Wiezorek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:51
Poor
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Severn's average takedown offense is matched by Wiezorek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Severn is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Severn is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Severn is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Wiezorek 8.1
fighter Severn 7.5
Great striking by Wiezorek
10 strikes Apr 02, 2004 vs Shipp

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Wiezorek 8.4
fighter Severn 8.4
Great takedowns by Severn
1 takedown Dec 16, 1995 vs Varelans
1 takedown Apr 07, 1995 vs Taktarov
1 takedown Dec 16, 1994 vs Bossett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Wiezorek 7.5
fighter Severn 6.2
Great knockouts by Wiezorek
Round 2 Jun 02, 2007 vs Persey
Round 1 Jun 18, 2005 vs Smith
Round 1 Apr 02, 2004 vs Shipp

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Wiezorek 8.3
fighter Severn 7.4
Great submissions by Wiezorek
Round 1 Feb 11, 2006 vs Buchkovich
Round 2 Apr 21, 2001 vs Severn
Round 1 Jun 24, 2000 vs Wilson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Wiezorek 8.7
fighter Severn 7.2
Fast finishes by Wiezorek
350 seconds Jun 02, 2007 vs Persey
103 seconds Feb 11, 2006 vs Buchkovich
363 seconds Apr 21, 2001 vs Severn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 21, 2001RSF 1
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
R3 SUBX
1,9461,562
1,8561,652
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Wiezorek
legend Severn
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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