UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Manhoef vs Lawler

1,897

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 6.3 vs 5.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 35 years vs 41 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Melvin Manhoef
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Manhoef’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 9:30, how much damage will he do? Lawler Manhoef
Significant Strikes28
Lawler's good striking offense won't be a factor against Manhoef's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:30
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Manhoef's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:30
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Manhoef on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Melvin
Manhoef
In 9:30, how much damage will he do? Manhoef Lawler
Significant Strikes46
Manhoef's excellent striking offense will dominate Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:30
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Manhoef's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:30
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Manhoef has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Manhoef is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Manhoef is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Manhoef 9.0
Great striking by Manhoef
4 strikes Dec 31, 2012 vs Kang
6 strikes Dec 31, 2009 vs Misaki
21 strikes Jun 15, 2008 vs Sakuraba

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter Manhoef 9.1
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter Manhoef 5.6
Great submissions by Lawler
Round 1 Sep 17, 2005 vs Brown

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Manhoef 9.0
Fast finishes by Manhoef
50 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Kang
109 seconds Dec 31, 2009 vs Misaki
90 seconds Jun 15, 2008 vs Sakuraba
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 30, 2010Strikeforce - Miami
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,9832,013
1,9382,058
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend Manhoef
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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