UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mickle vs Aldo

1,677

CageRank

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
97% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,308

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 5.9 More than 50% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.2 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly longer reach 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Chris Mickle
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mickle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 7:46, how much damage will he do? Aldo Mickle
Significant Strikes47
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Mickle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:46
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Mickle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:46
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mickle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Mickle
In 7:46, how much damage will he do? Mickle Aldo
Significant Strikes24
Mickle's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:46
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mickle's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:46
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mickle is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mickle has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mickle is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Mickle 8.4
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Mickle 5.9
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Mickle 8.1
Great submissions by Mickle
Round 2 Mar 31, 2007 vs James
Round 2 Jan 07, 2006 vs Geraghty
Round 2 Feb 25, 2005 vs Dunn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Mickle 8.1
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 1, 2009WEC 39
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,8161,925
1,7821,960
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Mickle
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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