UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mickle vs O'Brien

1,677

CageRank

WINNER
O'Brien

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance O'Brien
WILL WIN

1,859

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. O'Brien
Much heavier 155 lbs vs 147 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly heavier hands 6.0 vs 5.9 Almost the same
Slightly better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Chris Mickle
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
O'Brien on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mickle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
O'Brien
In 7:09, how much damage will he do? O'Brien Mickle
Significant Strikes38
O'Brien's average striking offense may be a factor against Mickle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:09
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
O'Brien's average takedown offense is matched by Mickle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
O'Brien is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
O'Brien has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
O'Brien is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mickle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against O'Brien’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Mickle
In 7:09, how much damage will he do? Mickle O'Brien
Significant Strikes36
Mickle's average striking offense is matched by O'Brien's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:09
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mickle's average takedown offense is matched by O'Brien's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mickle is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mickle has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mickle is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter O'Brien 9.1
fighter Mickle 8.1
Great submissions by O'Brien
Round 1 Oct 22, 2010 vs Henry
Round 1 Jul 16, 2010 vs Cochrane
Round 1 Jan 16, 2010 vs Brown

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter O'Brien 8.8
fighter Mickle 8.1
Fast finishes by O'Brien
228 seconds Oct 22, 2010 vs Henry
120 seconds Jul 16, 2010 vs Cochrane
76 seconds Jan 16, 2010 vs Brown
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 16, 2009MCC 18
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,7701,745
1,8161,698
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend O'Brien
legend Mickle
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus