UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gardner vs Masvidal

1,466

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
98% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.0 More than 35% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.3 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 33 years vs 40 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for David Gardner
From what we can tell, Jorge Masvidal dominates David Gardner in every way.
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gardner’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Gardner
Significant Strikes77
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Gardner's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Gardner's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Gardner on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Gardner
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gardner Masvidal
Significant Strikes53
Gardner's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Gardner's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gardner is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gardner is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gardner is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Gardner 8.2
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Gardner 8.5
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Gardner 6.3
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Gardner 6.2
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Gardner 6.6
Fast finishes by Masvidal
503 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
79 seconds Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
117 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 18, 2006AFC 15
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
DECX
1,7751,687
1,7131,749
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Gardner
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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