UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Goodridge vs Campetella

1,583

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Goodridge

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
69% chance Goodridge
WILL WIN

1,443

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gary Goodridge
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.1 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much taller 191 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 7.5 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 239 lbs vs 234 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for John Campetella
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 6.8 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Goodridge on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Campetella’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gary
Goodridge
In 6:56, how much damage will he do? Goodridge Campetella
Significant Strikes31
Goodridge's average striking offense is matched by Campetella's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Goodridge's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Campetella's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:56
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Goodridge has a chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Goodridge is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Goodridge is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Campetella on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Goodridge’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Campetella
In 6:56, how much damage will he do? Campetella Goodridge
Significant Strikes24
Campetella's average striking offense won't be a factor against Goodridge's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:56
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Campetella's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Goodridge's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Campetella has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Campetella is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Campetella is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Goodridge 7.5
fighter Campetella 7.4
Fast finishes by Goodridge
39 seconds Dec 31, 2003 vs Frye
159 seconds May 27, 2001 vs Overeem
43 seconds Mar 05, 1999 vs Roberts
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 12, 1996UFC 10
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,4481,500
1,5051,443
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Goodridge
legend Campetella
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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