UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Escudero vs Dunham

1,907

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Escudero

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
53% chance Escudero
WILL WIN

1,886

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Efrain Escudero
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Evan Dunham
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Escudero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dunham’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Efrain
Escudero
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Escudero Dunham
Significant Strikes66
Escudero's average striking offense is matched by Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Escudero's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dunham's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Escudero is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Escudero is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Escudero has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dunham on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Escudero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Evan
Dunham
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dunham Escudero
Significant Strikes81
Dunham's excellent striking offense will dominate Escudero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Dunham's average takedown offense is matched by Escudero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dunham is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dunham is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dunham has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Escudero 8.2
fighter Dunham 9.1
Great striking by Dunham
91 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Tibau
68 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
28 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Escudero 7.8
fighter Dunham 8.6
Great takedowns by Dunham
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Jun 12, 2010 vs Griffin
3 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Escudero 6.6
fighter Dunham 7.3
Great knockouts by Dunham
Round 2 Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Eklund
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Kaneshiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Escudero 7.4
fighter Dunham 7.7
Great submissions by Dunham
Round 3 Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero
Round 3 Jan 22, 2009 vs Akbari
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Daoust

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Escudero 7.3
fighter Dunham 7.7
Fast finishes by Dunham
600 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Lentz
719 seconds Jan 11, 2010 vs Escudero
133 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Eklund
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 11, 2010UFC Fight Night 20
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
R1 SUBX
1,9161,883
1,8611,938
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Escudero
legend Dunham
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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