UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Vitale vs Lombard

1,933

CageRank

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,230

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Significantly heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 39 years vs 43 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Falaniko Vitale
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vitale’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 9:27, how much damage will he do? Lombard Vitale
Significant Strikes52
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Vitale's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:27
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Vitale's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Vitale on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Falaniko
Vitale
In 9:27, how much damage will he do? Vitale Lombard
Significant Strikes40
Vitale's average striking offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:27
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Vitale's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vitale has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Vitale is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Vitale is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Vitale 8.4
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Vitale 8.2
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Vitale 7.8
Great submissions by Vitale
Round 1 Mar 20, 2010 vs Starnes
Round 1 Dec 12, 2004 vs Fields
Round 2 Feb 08, 2003 vs Roberts

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Vitale 8.9
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 14, 2011Bellator 44
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XR2 KO
1,9422,182
1,9222,202
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Vitale
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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