UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Vitale vs Lawler

1,933

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
81% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.9 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 35 years vs 42 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Falaniko Vitale
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.3 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vitale’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 11:40, how much damage will he do? Lawler Vitale
Significant Strikes61
Lawler's good striking offense may be a factor against Vitale's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:40
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Vitale's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:40
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Vitale on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Falaniko
Vitale
In 11:40, how much damage will he do? Vitale Lawler
Significant Strikes39
Vitale's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:40
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Vitale's average takedown offense is matched by Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vitale has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Vitale is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Vitale is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Vitale 8.4
Great striking by Lawler
44 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs MacDonald
9 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
8 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lawler 7.4
fighter Vitale 8.3
Great takedowns by Vitale
1 takedown Sep 29, 2007 vs Fields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter Vitale 8.2
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter Vitale 7.8
Great submissions by Vitale
Round 1 Mar 20, 2010 vs Starnes
Round 1 Dec 12, 2004 vs Fields
Round 2 Feb 08, 2003 vs Roberts

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Vitale 8.9
Fast finishes by Vitale
249 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Suda
228 seconds Dec 12, 2004 vs Fields
116 seconds Jun 06, 2003 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,8371,840
1,7881,890
July 23, 2005Superbrawl - Icon
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R2 SUBX
1,9781,747
1,8991,826
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend Vitale
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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