UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brilz vs Boetsch

1,995

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Brilz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance Brilz
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jason Brilz
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 37 years vs 42 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Longer reach 188 cm vs 182 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Brilz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
Brilz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brilz Boetsch
Significant Strikes63
Brilz's average striking offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Brilz's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brilz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brilz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brilz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brilz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Brilz
Significant Strikes71
Boetsch's average striking offense is matched by Brilz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Boetsch's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brilz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brilz 8.3
fighter Boetsch 8.5
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brilz 8.5
fighter Boetsch 8.2
Great takedowns by Brilz
3 takedowns Mar 21, 2010 vs Schafer
4 takedowns Mar 07, 2009 vs Boetsch
1 takedown Sep 17, 2008 vs Morris

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brilz 7.3
fighter Boetsch 7.6
Great knockouts by Boetsch
Round 3 Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Round 1 Feb 02, 2008 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brilz 7.3
fighter Boetsch 7.4
Great submissions by Boetsch
Round 2 Jan 16, 2010 vs Sylvester Lindsey
Round 2 Aug 15, 2009 vs Stark
Round 2 Jul 28, 2007 vs Barrett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brilz 7.7
fighter Boetsch 7.8
Fast finishes by Boetsch
654 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
65 seconds Apr 03, 2010 vs Shaner
123 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 7, 2009UFC 96
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 SUBX
1,9561,788
1,9831,760
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brilz
legend Boetsch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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