UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rea vs Belfort

1,868

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
88% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.3 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Antony Rea
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 202 lbs vs 184 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rea’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 3:51, how much damage will he do? Belfort Rea
Significant Strikes25
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Rea's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 35 Significant Strikes in 3:51
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rea's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:51
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rea on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antony
Rea
In 3:51, how much damage will he do? Rea Belfort
Significant Strikes8
Rea's average striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 35 Significant Strikes in 3:51
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rea's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rea has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rea is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rea is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Rea 8.5
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Rea 8.3
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Rea 7.4
Great submissions by Rea
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Miranda
Round 1 Sep 30, 2006 vs Agaev
Round 1 Nov 14, 2004 vs Voorn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Rea 8.6
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 3, 2005Cage Rage 14
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR1 KO
1,7441,786
1,7001,830
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Rea
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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