UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rea vs Manuwa

1,868

CageRank

WINNER
Manuwa

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
68% chance Manuwa
WILL WIN

1,996

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jimi Manuwa
Much heavier hands 9.9 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 36 years vs 40 years 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 205 lbs vs 202 lbs Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Antony Rea
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Manuwa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rea’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jimi
Manuwa
In 8:28, how much damage will he do? Manuwa Rea
Significant Strikes48
Manuwa's good striking offense may be a factor against Rea's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:28
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Manuwa's average takedown offense is matched by Rea's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Manuwa has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Manuwa is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Manuwa is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rea on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Manuwa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antony
Rea
In 8:28, how much damage will he do? Rea Manuwa
Significant Strikes37
Rea's average striking offense is matched by Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:28
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rea's average takedown offense is matched by Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rea has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rea is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rea is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Manuwa 8.7
fighter Rea 8.5
Great striking by Manuwa
48 strikes Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
18 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
53 strikes Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Manuwa 8.4
fighter Rea 8.2
Great takedowns by Manuwa
3 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Manuwa 9.9
fighter Rea 8.3
Great knockouts by Manuwa
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
Round 1 Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Manuwa 6.5
fighter Rea 7.4
Great submissions by Rea
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Miranda
Round 1 Sep 30, 2006 vs Agaev
Round 1 Nov 14, 2004 vs Voorn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Manuwa 8.9
fighter Rea 8.6
Fast finishes by Manuwa
581 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
300 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
188 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Petrescu
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 10, 2011BAMMA 8
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,7821,844
1,7411,885
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Manuwa
legend Rea
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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