UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Shamrock vs Baroni

1,795

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Shamrock

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Shamrock
WILL WIN

1,573

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frank Shamrock
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.4 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Slightly better striker 8.8 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Phil Baroni
Much better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 42 years vs 45 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Shamrock on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baroni’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frank
Shamrock
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Shamrock Baroni
Significant Strikes103
Shamrock's good striking offense may be a factor against Baroni's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Shamrock's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Baroni's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shamrock is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Shamrock has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shamrock is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Baroni on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shamrock’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Phil
Baroni
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Baroni Shamrock
Significant Strikes70
Baroni's good striking offense may be a factor against Shamrock's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Baroni's average takedown offense may be a factor against Shamrock's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baroni is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Baroni is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Baroni is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Shamrock 8.8
fighter Baroni 8.8
Great striking by Shamrock
101 strikes Jun 22, 2007 vs Baroni
31 strikes Sep 24, 1999 vs Ortiz
20 strikes May 15, 1998 vs Horn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Shamrock 7.5
fighter Baroni 8.2
Great takedowns by Baroni
1 takedown Oct 21, 2006 vs Nishijima
1 takedown May 22, 2005 vs Minowa
2 takedowns Feb 23, 2001 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Shamrock 6.5
fighter Baroni 7.3
Great knockouts by Baroni
Round 1 Jul 17, 2005 vs Chonan
Round 1 Sep 27, 2002 vs Menne
Round 1 May 10, 2002 vs Suloev

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Shamrock 8.1
fighter Baroni 6.4
Great submissions by Shamrock
Round 2 Jun 22, 2007 vs Baroni
Round 1 May 15, 1998 vs Horn
Round 1 Nov 04, 1995 vs Funaki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Shamrock 7.8
fighter Baroni 7.4
Fast finishes by Shamrock
540 seconds Jun 22, 2007 vs Baroni
631 seconds Nov 04, 1995 vs Funaki
203 seconds Apr 08, 1995 vs Suzuki
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
DECX
1,8551,773
1,8931,735
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Shamrock
legend Baroni
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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