UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Shamrock vs Diaz

1,795

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
89% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.2 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly younger 33 years vs 44 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Frank Shamrock
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shamrock’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 10:55, how much damage will he do? Diaz Shamrock
Significant Strikes73
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Shamrock's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:55
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Diaz's below average takedown offense is matched by Shamrock's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:55
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Shamrock on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frank
Shamrock
In 10:55, how much damage will he do? Shamrock Diaz
Significant Strikes64
Shamrock's good striking offense may be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:55
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Shamrock's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:55
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shamrock is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shamrock has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shamrock is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Shamrock 8.8
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.6
fighter Shamrock 7.5
Great takedowns by Diaz
1 takedown May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
1 takedown Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
3 takedowns Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Shamrock 6.5
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Shamrock 8.1
Great submissions by Shamrock
Round 2 Jun 22, 2007 vs Baroni
Round 1 May 15, 1998 vs Horn
Round 1 Nov 04, 1995 vs Funaki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Shamrock 7.8
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR1 KO
1,8261,969
1,7951,999
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Shamrock
Read More
Shamrock vs Shamrock
Fantasy Cage Match
Diaz vs Diaz
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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