CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Aina vs Diaz
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Much better submission offense | 8.0 | vs | 6.5 | Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Better striker | 9.7 | vs | 8.5 | Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Fast finishes | 8.7 | vs | 7.6 | More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Much heavier hands | 8.4 | vs | 7.6 | More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders |
Much stronger jaw | 9.8 | vs | 8.7 | More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Puts up a fight | 9.9 | vs | 8.7 | Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Significantly better takedown defense | 8.8 | vs | 7.9 | More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down |
Significantly better submission defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.6 | More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Significantly longer reach | 193 cm | vs | 180 cm | More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
Taller | 185 cm | vs | 175 cm | More than 5% taller |
Heavier | 169 lbs | vs | 155 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Younger | 34 years | vs | 37 years | Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Advantages for Mike Aina
Significantly stronger takedown offense | 8.4 | vs | 7.6 | More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Diaz on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aina’s defensive skills
Predictions For Nick Diaz |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Diaz | Aina | |
Significant Strikes110
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Aina's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aina's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Average
Scoring ability
|
Aina on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For Mike Aina |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Aina | Diaz | |
Significant Strikes75
Aina's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Aina's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Aina is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Aina is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Aina has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Average
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes | Oct 29, 2011 | vs Penn |
44 strikes | Apr 09, 2011 | vs Daley |
13 strikes | Feb 05, 2005 | vs Fickett |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 | Apr 09, 2011 | vs Daley |
Round 1 | Jan 30, 2010 | vs Zaromskis |
Round 1 | Feb 05, 2005 | vs Fickett |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 | May 29, 2010 | vs Sakurai |
Round 3 | Jun 06, 2009 | vs Smith |
Round 3 | Aug 26, 2006 | vs Neer |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds | Apr 09, 2011 | vs Daley |
278 seconds | Jan 30, 2010 | vs Zaromskis |
280 seconds | Feb 05, 2005 | vs Fickett |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?