Mike Aina Iron 12-6-1

Weight 155 lbs
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71"
Age 36

Nick Diaz 26-9

169 lbs
6' 1"
76"
33

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aina vs Diaz

CageRank

92% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Nick Diaz

Much better submission offense	8.0	vs	6.5	Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker	9.7	vs	8.5	Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes	8.7	vs	7.6	More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands	8.4	vs	7.6	More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw	9.8	vs	8.7	More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight	9.9	vs	8.7	Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense	8.8	vs	7.9	More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense	9.5	vs	8.6	More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly longer reach	193 cm	vs	180 cm	More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller	185 cm	vs	175 cm	More than 5% taller
Heavier	169 lbs	vs	155 lbs	Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger	33 years	vs	36 years	Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon

Advantages for Mike Aina

Significantly stronger takedown offense

8.4

7.6

More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat

Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aina’s defensive skills

Predictions For Nick Diaz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Diaz		Aina
Significant Strikes110 Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Aina's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aina's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Average Scoring ability

Aina on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills

Predictions For Mike Aina
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Aina		Diaz
Significant Strikes75 Aina's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Average Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Aina's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Aina is unlikely to win by knockout	Average Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Aina is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Aina has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Average Scoring ability