UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Villasenor vs Souza

1,879

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 6.8 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 37 years vs 41 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 183 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Joey Villasenor
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Villasenor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Souza Villasenor
Significant Strikes83
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Villasenor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Villasenor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Villasenor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joey
Villasenor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Villasenor Souza
Significant Strikes34
Villasenor's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Villasenor's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Villasenor is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Villasenor is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Villasenor is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Villasenor 8.3
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Villasenor 7.8
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Villasenor 7.9
Great knockouts by Villasenor
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Parmelee
Round 1 Mar 29, 2008 vs Jensen
Round 1 Jul 29, 2006 vs Cronk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Villasenor 6.8
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Villasenor 8.1
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 KOX
1,9741,957
1,9222,010
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Villasenor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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