UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Villasenor vs Rua

1,879

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Villasenor

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Villasenor
WILL WIN

1,744

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joey Villasenor
Much stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Murilo Rua
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 38 years vs 42 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 186 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Villasenor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joey
Villasenor
In 12:03, how much damage will he do? Villasenor Rua
Significant Strikes57
Villasenor's average striking offense is matched by Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:03
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Villasenor's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:03
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Villasenor has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Villasenor is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Villasenor is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Villasenor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Murilo
Rua
In 12:03, how much damage will he do? Rua Villasenor
Significant Strikes62
Rua's average striking offense is matched by Villasenor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:03
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Rua's average takedown offense may be a factor against Villasenor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Villasenor 8.3
fighter Rua 8.6
Great striking by Rua
23 strikes Jun 22, 2007 vs Villasenor
12 strikes Oct 23, 2005 vs Chunkaiev
48 strikes Apr 28, 2002 vs Sperry

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Villasenor 7.8
fighter Rua 8.7
Great takedowns by Rua
2 takedowns Jun 22, 2007 vs Villasenor
2 takedowns Oct 23, 2005 vs Chunkaiev
1 takedown Apr 28, 2002 vs Sperry

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Villasenor 7.9
fighter Rua 7.6
Great knockouts by Villasenor
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Parmelee
Round 1 Mar 29, 2008 vs Jensen
Round 1 Jul 29, 2006 vs Cronk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Villasenor 6.8
fighter Rua 7.8
Great submissions by Rua
Round 2 Dec 01, 2007 vs Foupa-Pokam
Round 2 Sep 30, 2006 vs Weir
Round 1 Oct 23, 2005 vs Chunkaiev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Villasenor 8.1
fighter Rua 8.3
Fast finishes by Rua
195 seconds Jun 14, 2008 vs Bonello
365 seconds Jun 22, 2007 vs Villasenor
211 seconds Oct 23, 2005 vs Chunkaiev
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R1 KOX
1,9361,793
1,8671,862
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Villasenor
legend Rua
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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