UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Loiseau vs Herman

1,848

CageRank

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
Much heavier 205 lbs vs 192 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.3 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly fast finishes 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for David Loiseau
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 194 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Loiseau’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Herman Loiseau
Significant Strikes66
Herman's average striking offense is matched by Loiseau's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Herman's average takedown offense may be a factor against Loiseau's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Loiseau on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Loiseau
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Loiseau Herman
Significant Strikes53
Loiseau's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Loiseau's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Loiseau has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Loiseau is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Loiseau is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Loiseau 7.9
Great striking by Herman
2 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
71 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
43 strikes Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Loiseau 7.6
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Loiseau 8.4
Great knockouts by Loiseau
Round 2 Oct 03, 2005 vs Tanner
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Ray
Round 1 Jan 25, 2003 vs Fryklund

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Loiseau 6.3
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Loiseau 8.0
Fast finishes by Herman
255 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
48 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
639 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2009UFC 97
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,9161,829
1,8541,891
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Loiseau
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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