UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cantrell vs Ferguson

1,468

CageRank

WINNER
Ferguson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
66% chance Ferguson
WILL WIN

1,587

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kevin Ferguson
Better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 44 years vs 48 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Bo Cantrell
Heavier 239 lbs vs 225 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cantrell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Ferguson
In 8:17, how much damage will he do? Ferguson Cantrell
Significant Strikes38
Ferguson's average striking offense may be a factor against Cantrell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:17
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ferguson's average takedown offense is matched by Cantrell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cantrell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bo
Cantrell
In 8:17, how much damage will he do? Cantrell Ferguson
Significant Strikes42
Cantrell's average striking offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cantrell's average takedown offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cantrell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Cantrell is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Cantrell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferguson 7.4
fighter Cantrell 7.2
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Jun 19, 2015 vs Shamrock
Round 3 May 31, 2008 vs Thompson
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Abbott

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferguson 7.0
fighter Cantrell 6.5
Great submissions by Ferguson
Round 1 Nov 10, 2007 vs Cantrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferguson 7.3
fighter Cantrell 7.3
Fast finishes by Cantrell
17 seconds Dec 16, 2006 vs Worsham
12 seconds Apr 02, 2006 vs Sesma
88 seconds Aug 25, 2005 vs Blevins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 10, 2007EliteXC - Renegade
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R2 KOX
1,5311,440
1,4681,503
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferguson
legend Cantrell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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