UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Berto vs Valenzuela

1,661

CageRank

WINNER
Valenzuela

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Valenzuela
WILL WIN

1,712

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Victor Valenzuela
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Edson Berto
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Valenzuela on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Berto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Victor
Valenzuela
In 12:34, how much damage will he do? Valenzuela Berto
Significant Strikes52
Valenzuela's average striking offense is matched by Berto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:34
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Valenzuela's average takedown offense is matched by Berto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Valenzuela is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Valenzuela is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Valenzuela is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Berto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Valenzuela’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Berto
In 12:34, how much damage will he do? Berto Valenzuela
Significant Strikes54
Berto's average striking offense is matched by Valenzuela's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:34
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Berto's good takedown offense may be a factor against Valenzuela's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:34
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Berto is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Berto is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Berto is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Valenzuela 8.2
fighter Berto 8.3
Great striking by Berto
2 strikes Jun 22, 2007 vs Valenzuela

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Valenzuela 8.3
fighter Berto 9.0
Great takedowns by Berto
1 takedown Jun 22, 2007 vs Valenzuela

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Valenzuela 7.9
fighter Berto 6.5
Great knockouts by Valenzuela
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Rivas
Round 2 Aug 14, 2008 vs Camacho
Round 1 Oct 07, 2006 vs Grear

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Valenzuela 7.1
fighter Berto 7.6
Great submissions by Berto
Round 1 Mar 28, 2013 vs Carvalho
Round 1 Apr 03, 2010 vs Loughran
Round 1 Nov 04, 2006 vs Mickle

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Valenzuela 7.8
fighter Berto 7.7
Fast finishes by Valenzuela
434 seconds Aug 14, 2008 vs Camacho
203 seconds Aug 25, 2007 vs Bennett
146 seconds Oct 07, 2006 vs Grear
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,7731,684
1,8101,647
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Valenzuela
legend Berto
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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