UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hata vs Ishida

1,904

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hata

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
60% chance Hata
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daiki Hata
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.3 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly heavier 142 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Hata on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daiki
Hata
In 11:36, how much damage will he do? Hata Ishida
Significant Strikes29
Hata's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:36
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hata's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:36
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hata has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hata is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hata is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hata’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 11:36, how much damage will he do? Ishida Hata
Significant Strikes45
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Hata's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:36
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hata's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:36
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hata 8.2
fighter Ishida 8.2
Great striking by Hata
47 strikes Apr 05, 2009 vs Tokoro

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hata 8.2
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hata 8.3
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Hata
Round 2 Apr 26, 2013 vs Maeda
Round 2 May 30, 2007 vs Massouh
Round 2 Mar 19, 2006 vs Maeda

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hata 6.3
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Ishida
Round 1 Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hata 7.8
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Hata
401 seconds Apr 26, 2013 vs Maeda
590 seconds May 30, 2007 vs Massouh
335 seconds Mar 19, 2006 vs Maeda
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 10, 2010Dream 15
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XDEC
1,7731,900
1,7411,932
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hata
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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