UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hata vs Tokoro

1,904

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hata

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
74% chance Hata
WILL WIN

1,723

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daiki Hata
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.3 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 144 lbs vs 133 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Hideo Tokoro
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Hata on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tokoro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daiki
Hata
In 11:38, how much damage will he do? Hata Tokoro
Significant Strikes51
Hata's average striking offense is matched by Tokoro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hata's average takedown offense is matched by Tokoro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hata has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hata is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hata is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Tokoro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hata’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hideo
Tokoro
In 11:38, how much damage will he do? Tokoro Hata
Significant Strikes42
Tokoro's average striking offense is matched by Hata's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Tokoro's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Hata's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:38
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tokoro is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tokoro is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tokoro is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hata 8.2
fighter Tokoro 8.0
Great striking by Hata
47 strikes Apr 05, 2009 vs Tokoro

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hata 8.2
fighter Tokoro 7.3
Great takedowns by Hata
2 takedowns Apr 05, 2009 vs Tokoro

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hata 8.3
fighter Tokoro 6.4
Great knockouts by Hata
Round 2 Apr 26, 2013 vs Maeda
Round 2 May 30, 2007 vs Massouh
Round 2 Mar 19, 2006 vs Maeda

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hata 6.3
fighter Tokoro 7.7
Great submissions by Tokoro
Round 2 May 26, 2009 vs Cullum
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Pickett
Round 1 May 05, 2004 vs Morkevicius

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hata 7.8
fighter Tokoro 7.5
Fast finishes by Hata
401 seconds Apr 26, 2013 vs Maeda
590 seconds May 30, 2007 vs Massouh
335 seconds Mar 19, 2006 vs Maeda
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 5, 2009Dream 8
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
R1 KOX
1,8021,712
1,8391,675
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hata
legend Tokoro
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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