UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ishikawa vs Lombard

1,750

CageRank

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,230

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.5 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.0 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.0 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Eiji Ishikawa
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishikawa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 8:05, how much damage will he do? Lombard Ishikawa
Significant Strikes47
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Ishikawa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:05
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Ishikawa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:05
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ishikawa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eiji
Ishikawa
In 8:05, how much damage will he do? Ishikawa Lombard
Significant Strikes32
Ishikawa's average striking offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:05
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ishikawa's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:05
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishikawa is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishikawa is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishikawa has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Ishikawa 8.2
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Ishikawa 6.6
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Ishikawa 6.0
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Ishikawa 7.0
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 16, 2007Deep - 28 Impact
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
DECX
1,7361,712
1,6821,766
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Ishikawa
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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