UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jung vs Nakamura

1,461

CageRank

WINNER
Nakamura

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Nakamura
WILL WIN

1,864

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daisuke Nakamura
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 6.8 More than 35% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier 155 lbs vs 150 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 7.5 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Bu-Kyung Jung
Significantly better striker 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Nakamura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jung’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daisuke
Nakamura
In 7:54, how much damage will he do? Nakamura Jung
Significant Strikes28
Nakamura's below average striking offense is matched by Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:54
Below average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Nakamura's average takedown offense is matched by Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nakamura has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Nakamura has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Nakamura has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Jung on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nakamura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bu-Kyung
Jung
In 7:54, how much damage will he do? Jung Nakamura
Significant Strikes24
Jung's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nakamura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:54
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jung's average takedown offense is matched by Nakamura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jung is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jung is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jung has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nakamura 8.2
fighter Jung 7.3
Great submissions by Nakamura
Round 3 Oct 29, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Tokoro
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs Ikemoto

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nakamura 7.9
fighter Jung 7.3
Fast finishes by Nakamura
220 seconds Aug 27, 2010 vs Bradney
143 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Tokoro
216 seconds Aug 26, 2006 vs Ikemoto
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 11, 2008Dream 3
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR2 SUB
1,4911,775
1,4741,791
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nakamura
legend Jung
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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