UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jung vs Aoki

1,461

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 8.2 More than 20% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 7.3 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 6.8 More than 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 7.8 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.5 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly heavier 153 lbs vs 150 lbs Almost the same
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Bu-Kyung Jung
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jung’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
In 2:31, how much damage will he do? Aoki Jung
Significant Strikes7
Aoki's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 23 Significant Strikes in 2:31
Poor
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aoki's excellent takedown offense will dominate Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:31
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Jung on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bu-Kyung
Jung
In 2:31, how much damage will he do? Jung Aoki
Significant Strikes4
Jung's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 23 Significant Strikes in 2:31
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Jung's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jung is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jung is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jung is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.6
fighter Jung 8.6
Great takedowns by Aoki
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
6 takedowns Dec 31, 2011 vs Kitaoka
1 takedown Apr 29, 2008 vs Cavalcante

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Jung 7.3
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Jung 7.3
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XR3 SUB
1,5002,037
1,4962,041
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Jung
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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