UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jung vs Ishida

1,461

CageRank

WINNER
Ishida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance Ishida
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much stronger jaw 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Bu-Kyung Jung
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Slightly heavier 150 lbs vs 142 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jung’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ishida Jung
Significant Strikes68
Ishida's average striking offense may be a factor against Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Jung on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bu-Kyung
Jung
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jung Ishida
Significant Strikes37
Jung's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jung's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jung has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Jung is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jung is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ishida 9.5
fighter Jung 8.6
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ishida 7.3
fighter Jung 7.3
Fast finishes by Ishida
81 seconds Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
149 seconds Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez
691 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Nakakura
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 15, 2008Dream 1
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XDEC
1,4962,012
1,4912,017
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ishida
legend Jung
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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