UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kohler vs Ribeiro

1,622

CageRank

WINNER
Ribeiro

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Ribeiro
WILL WIN

1,875

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Ribeiro
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 7.9 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 180 cm vs 171 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 39 years vs 42 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Charlie Kohler
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.8 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 164 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly better striker 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Slightly taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Ribeiro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kohler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Ribeiro
In 9:21, how much damage will he do? Ribeiro Kohler
Significant Strikes38
Ribeiro's average striking offense is matched by Kohler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:21
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ribeiro's average takedown offense is matched by Kohler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ribeiro is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ribeiro has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ribeiro is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kohler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ribeiro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charlie
Kohler
In 9:21, how much damage will he do? Kohler Ribeiro
Significant Strikes38
Kohler's average striking offense is matched by Ribeiro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:21
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kohler's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ribeiro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kohler is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Kohler is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kohler is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ribeiro 6.8
fighter Kohler 7.0
Great knockouts by Kohler
Round 1 Apr 27, 2007 vs Dell
Round 1 Aug 06, 2004 vs Ewing

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ribeiro 8.4
fighter Kohler 7.3
Great submissions by Ribeiro
Round 1 Sep 30, 2006 vs Mohamed
Round 2 Dec 14, 2003 vs Hansen
Round 2 Jul 05, 2002 vs Hurley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ribeiro 8.0
fighter Kohler 7.9
Fast finishes by Ribeiro
267 seconds Sep 30, 2006 vs Mohamed
558 seconds Sep 10, 2005 vs Silva
457 seconds Dec 14, 2003 vs Hansen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 3, 2001WFA 1
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 SUBX
1,6271,500
1,5591,567
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ribeiro
legend Kohler
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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